Keystone Financial Group

Economic Update

EMPLOYMENT

Employment numbers are important to review as they provide solid indicators for spending patterns and consumer confidence. Click the graph below for the most current information on employment.

MANUFACTURING

The ISM manufacturing index (formerly known as the NAPM Survey) is constructed so that any level at 50 or above signifies growth in the services sector. (3) Click the graph below for the most current information on manufacturing.

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the broadest measure of aggregate economic activity and encompasses every sector of the economy. (4)

Click the graph below for the most current information on the Gross Domestic Product.

CONSUMER CONFIDENCE

Consumer Confidence is important because the pattern in consumer attitudes can be a key influence on markets, as such spending drives two thirds of economic activity. 

  Click the graph below for the most current information on consumer confidence.

HOUSING

The real estate market an important overall indicator of the national economy. Residential real estates are often the greatest source of wealth for many families.

Click the graph below for the most current information on housing.

NEW HOME SALES

A sale of the new house occurs with the signing of a sales contract or the acceptance of a deposit. The house can be in any stage of construction: not yet started, under construction, or already completed. New home sales account for about 10 percent of the US housing market. New single-family home sales are extremely volatile month-to-month and preliminary figures are subject to large revisions because they are mostly drawn from building permits data.

Click the graph below for the most current information on new home sales.

INCOME AND EXPENDITURES

Personal consumption is an important metric to monitor. Personal Income refers to the income that persons receive in return for their provision of labor, land, and capital used in current production, plus current transfer receipts less contributions for government social insurance.  Click the graph below for the most current information on  personal income and expenditures.

Video Content

Things Aren’t Always As They Seem

Since February, the market has absorbed and reacted to many changes to previously made assumptions regarding the prospects for growth, and earnings.  These shocks were geo-political, and geo-economic in nature, and involved the sudden repricing of risk over tariffs, reciprocal tariffs, and the concern that a growth shock induced recession could be on the horizon.  

As of the middle of May however, we can quantify how those fears have seemingly abated, and markets have re-priced for that risk in a positive manner, underscoring once again the need to be stoic in your disposition when it comes to the allocation of an objective driven investment initiative.

Sometimes, things aren’t always as they seem, and navigating through the noise of sensationalism can feel like walking through a fun house of mirrors.  Within this video, I’m offering my thoughts on the reasons behind what turned out to be the sharpest and fastest draw down that we’ve experienced in 100 years, and furthermore, why did markets recover from that drawdown so quickly as well.  Were the concerns rational, or irrational?

From a tactical perspective, we remain dedicated to the goal of insulating ourselves from the sensationalism and hyperbole of the day, as we dispassionately adjust the exposures within our models, and act upon data driven conviction.

Please find a few minutes to view our monthly commentary, and please let us know if we can be of service.

Things Aren’t Always As They Seem

Since February, the market has absorbed and reacted to many changes to previously made assumptions regarding the prospects for growth, and earnings. These shocks were geo-political, and geo-economic in nature, and involved the sudden repricing of risk over tariffs, reciprocal tariffs, and the concern that a growth shock induced recession could be on the horizon.

As of the middle of May however, we can quantify how those fears have seemingly abated, and markets have re-priced for that risk in a positive manner, underscoring once again the need to be stoic in your disposition when it comes to the allocation of an objective driven investment initiative.

Sometimes, things aren’t always as they seem, and navigating through the noise of sensationalism can feel like walking through a fun house of mirrors. Within this video, I’m offering my thoughts on the reasons behind what turned out to be the sharpest and fastest draw down that we’ve experienced in 100 years, and furthermore, why did markets recover from that drawdown so quickly as well. Were the concerns rational, or irrational?

From a tactical perspective, we remain dedicated to the goal of insulating ourselves from the sensationalism and hyperbole of the day, as we dispassionately adjust the exposures within our models, and act upon data driven conviction.

Please find a few minutes to view our monthly commentary, and please let us know if we can be of service.

YouTube Video VVVkd3dBLXV6ZGNYTXZGVmoxNUlwOHp3LkNZTTZNR1dfQzVr
Keystone Financial Group 39

Things Arent Always As They Seem 2025 KFG 2

Keystone Financial Group May 17, 2025 2:46 pm

Things Aren’t Always As They Seem

Since February, the market has absorbed and reacted to many changes to previously made assumptions regarding the prospects for growth, and earnings.  These shocks were geo-political, and geo-economic in nature, and involved the sudden repricing of risk over tariffs, reciprocal tariffs, and the concern that a growth shock induced recession could be on the horizon.  

As of the middle of May however, we can quantify how those fears have seemingly abated, and markets have re-priced for that risk in a positive manner, underscoring once again the need to be stoic in your disposition when it comes to the allocation of an objective driven investment initiative.

Sometimes, things aren’t always as they seem, and navigating through the noise of sensationalism can feel like walking through a fun house of mirrors.  Within this video, I’m offering my thoughts on the reasons behind what turned out to be the sharpest and fastest draw down that we’ve experienced in 100 years, and furthermore, why did markets recover from that drawdown so quickly as well.  Were the concerns rational, or irrational?

From a tactical perspective, we remain dedicated to the goal of insulating ourselves from the sensationalism and hyperbole of the day, as we dispassionately adjust the exposures within our models, and act upon data driven conviction.

Please find a few minutes to view our monthly commentary, and please let us know if we can be of service.

Things Aren’t Always As They Seem

Since February, the market has absorbed and reacted to many changes to previously made assumptions regarding the prospects for growth, and earnings. These shocks were geo-political, and geo-economic in nature, and involved the sudden repricing of risk over tariffs, reciprocal tariffs, and the concern that a growth shock induced recession could be on the horizon.

As of the middle of May however, we can quantify how those fears have seemingly abated, and markets have re-priced for that risk in a positive manner, underscoring once again the need to be stoic in your disposition when it comes to the allocation of an objective driven investment initiative.

Sometimes, things aren’t always as they seem, and navigating through the noise of sensationalism can feel like walking through a fun house of mirrors. Within this video, I’m offering my thoughts on the reasons behind what turned out to be the sharpest and fastest draw down that we’ve experienced in 100 years, and furthermore, why did markets recover from that drawdown so quickly as well. Were the concerns rational, or irrational?

From a tactical perspective, we remain dedicated to the goal of insulating ourselves from the sensationalism and hyperbole of the day, as we dispassionately adjust the exposures within our models, and act upon data driven conviction.

Please find a few minutes to view our monthly commentary, and please let us know if we can be of service.

YouTube Video VVVkd3dBLXV6ZGNYTXZGVmoxNUlwOHp3LmcyMkNlNjVUUWhV

Things Arent Always As They Seem 2025 IFA 1

Keystone Financial Group May 17, 2025 2:38 pm

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