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Keystone Financial Group

Precision Retirement Planning & the Labyrinth

Years ago, when my son was young, I had a revelation as we were playing with a simple toy.  Do you remember playing the labyrinth game, or possibly better known as the “guide the BB through the maze to the hole” game?  We’ve all been frustrated by the precision required in moving the bearing from the start to the finish while avoiding the traps of the maze.

It occurred to me that navigating challenging events and markets, while trying to generate durable retirement income for clients, can be a lot like playing this game.  See, you have to have a steady hand as you tilt the game to the left, and to the right, forward, and backward, as the ball rolls through the channels.  One wrong move, and you have to correct, re-trace, and try to get the ball back in the groove.  The objective is to get the ball in the hole, each and every time, without having to make course corrections.

The game is difficult enough just trying to play it while standing still.  Imagine how even more difficult it would be to consistently move the ball into the hole while walking and playing the game.  How difficult would it be to accomplish the objective, if you were running?  Better still, how difficult do you think it would be if you were playing the game while blindfolded?

My clients have hired me to do a job for them.  Among other things, that job entails moving the ball from the start, to the finish, each month, consistently, and reliably.  It requires a steady hand for sure.  Some months, I’m able to do that standing still.  Some months, I’m having to navigate impediments, and some months, you have to rely upon the merits of your plan when your vision is obscured by a blindfold of uncertainty.

Those who are, or will soon be reliant upon durable retirement income, should consider this analogy.  Yields remain low, geo political uncertainty is present, Brexit threw currency pairings into flux, and concerns over trade agreements remain.   We had three corrections in the market in 2018, and one of the corrections nearly met the definition of a bear market.  We recovered from each of those, and many investors feel whip sawed today as a result.

How consistently do you think income can be generated, and with what degree of durability, when you’re faced with such circumstances?

We meet these challenges with precision planning.  The retirement financial plan is detailed, and captures the DNA of the person, and reflects their objectives and parameters.  Then we implement the plan with tools that offer distinctive competencies.  Such plans are never static, and we periodically review and re-calibrate.  This helps me, as I help clients, to navigate the maze of uncertainty, and guide the ball bearing to the target with consistency.

Video Content

It feels like we’ve ridden a roller coaster of sentiment over just the last few weeks since Chairman Powell hinted that accommodation could be in our near-term future.

Within our current video, we continue to address areas of distortion that continue that skew perception from reality.   This distortion can hide positive evidence of changing economic seasons. Therefore, from a tactical perspective, we remain dedicated to the goal of insulating ourselves from the sensationalism and hyperbole of the day, as we dispassionately adjust the exposures within our models, and act upon data driven conviction.

Bond yields may have peaked in October of 2023.  The Federal Reserve may be on the cusp of accommodation.  Inflation, as measured by the CPI, recorded a year over year increase of 2.9% on the 15th of August.  The yield curve inversion we’ve heard so much about, had all but dissipated as of the 5th of August.  

According to the Labor Department, personal income has outpaced inflation for nearly one year. The capacity to consume has improved over the last 22 months, and we believe this is supporting trends that have been gaining traction since December of last year.  For a third consecutive quarter, we learned that retail sales were surprisingly higher than expected on the 14th of August.  It seems that we may be returning to normal patterns of consumption, and because this represents 70% of GDP, it is tactically important to look through the distortion, and observe the improving financial metrics of the average household. 

Please find a few minutes to view our monthly commentary, and please let us know if we can be of service.

It feels like we’ve ridden a roller coaster of sentiment over just the last few weeks since Chairman Powell hinted that accommodation could be in our near-term future.

Within our current video, we continue to address areas of distortion that continue that skew perception from reality. This distortion can hide positive evidence of changing economic seasons. Therefore, from a tactical perspective, we remain dedicated to the goal of insulating ourselves from the sensationalism and hyperbole of the day, as we dispassionately adjust the exposures within our models, and act upon data driven conviction.

Bond yields may have peaked in October of 2023. The Federal Reserve may be on the cusp of accommodation. Inflation, as measured by the CPI, recorded a year over year increase of 2.9% on the 15th of August. The yield curve inversion we’ve heard so much about, had all but dissipated as of the 5th of August.

According to the Labor Department, personal income has outpaced inflation for nearly one year. The capacity to consume has improved over the last 22 months, and we believe this is supporting trends that have been gaining traction since December of last year. For a third consecutive quarter, we learned that retail sales were surprisingly higher than expected on the 14th of August. It seems that we may be returning to normal patterns of consumption, and because this represents 70% of GDP, it is tactically important to look through the distortion, and observe the improving financial metrics of the average household.

Please find a few minutes to view our monthly commentary, and please let us know if we can be of service.

YouTube Video VVVkd3dBLXV6ZGNYTXZGVmoxNUlwOHp3LlNXelZFbHNuZWNz
Keystone Financial Group 35

Things Aren't Always As They Seem IFA Aug 2024

Keystone Financial Group August 16, 2024 2:56 pm

It feels like we’ve ridden a roller coaster of sentiment over just the last few weeks since Chairman Powell hinted that accommodation could be in our near-term future.

Within our current video, we continue to address areas of distortion that continue that skew perception from reality.   This distortion can hide positive evidence of changing economic seasons. Therefore, from a tactical perspective, we remain dedicated to the goal of insulating ourselves from the sensationalism and hyperbole of the day, as we dispassionately adjust the exposures within our models, and act upon data driven conviction.

Bond yields may have peaked in October of 2023.  The Federal Reserve may be on the cusp of accommodation.  Inflation, as measured by the CPI, recorded a year over year increase of 2.9% on the 15th of August.  The yield curve inversion we’ve heard so much about, had all but dissipated as of the 5th of August.  

According to the Labor Department, personal income has outpaced inflation for nearly one year. The capacity to consume has improved over the last 22 months, and we believe this is supporting trends that have been gaining traction since December of last year.  For a third consecutive quarter, we learned that retail sales were surprisingly higher than expected on the 14th of August.  It seems that we may be returning to normal patterns of consumption, and because this represents 70% of GDP, it is tactically important to look through the distortion, and observe the improving financial metrics of the average household.

It feels like we’ve ridden a roller coaster of sentiment over just the last few weeks since Chairman Powell hinted that accommodation could be in our near-term future.

Within our current video, we continue to address areas of distortion that continue that skew perception from reality. This distortion can hide positive evidence of changing economic seasons. Therefore, from a tactical perspective, we remain dedicated to the goal of insulating ourselves from the sensationalism and hyperbole of the day, as we dispassionately adjust the exposures within our models, and act upon data driven conviction.

Bond yields may have peaked in October of 2023. The Federal Reserve may be on the cusp of accommodation. Inflation, as measured by the CPI, recorded a year over year increase of 2.9% on the 15th of August. The yield curve inversion we’ve heard so much about, had all but dissipated as of the 5th of August.

According to the Labor Department, personal income has outpaced inflation for nearly one year. The capacity to consume has improved over the last 22 months, and we believe this is supporting trends that have been gaining traction since December of last year. For a third consecutive quarter, we learned that retail sales were surprisingly higher than expected on the 14th of August. It seems that we may be returning to normal patterns of consumption, and because this represents 70% of GDP, it is tactically important to look through the distortion, and observe the improving financial metrics of the average household.

YouTube Video VVVkd3dBLXV6ZGNYTXZGVmoxNUlwOHp3LkZKQ2ozMHVPMS1z

Things Aren't Always As They Seem

Keystone Financial Group August 16, 2024 2:40 pm

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